Supply projections as planning: a critical review of forecasting net physician requirements in Canada


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Publication Topics

Supply projections as planning: a critical review of forecasting net physician requirements in Canada

Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication1985
AuthorsLomas J, Stoddart GL, Barer ML
JournalSocial science & medicine (1982)Soc.Sci.Med.
Pages411 - 424
Date Published1985
KeywordsCanada, Delivery of Health Care/manpower, Forecasting, Health Planning Guidelines, Health Planning/trends, Health Services Needs and Demand/trends, Humans, Physicians/supply & distribution, Population Dynamics
AbstractThis study involves a critical review of the current methods used to establish net future physician manpower requirements in Canada. The paper explores specific examples of physician manpower forecasting in Canada, and contrasts them with an extensive U.S. exercise completed recently. The conceptual and measurement difficulties inherent in the Canadian methodology are outlined. Particular attention is paid to the various factors that can potentially influence physician requirements but which are omitted from consideration in traditional forecasting. The paper concludes with a discussion of the definition of 'need' in the context of physician requirements.
Citation Key391